National Hurricane Center Bulletin Number 6
10:00 am cdt, Friday October 04, 2013

Location: 25.6 N / 90.2 W
– About 250 miles (405 km) SSW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
– About 290 miles (465 km) SSE of Morgan City, Louisiana
Maximum Sustained Winds: 50 mph (85 km/h)
Present Movement: NNW or 330 degrees at 10 mph (17 km/h)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1003 mb (29.62 inches)

Tropical Storm Karen ~ Watches and Warnings

The tropical storm warning has been extended westward and is in effect from Grand Isle, LA to Morgan City, LA.

A hurricane watch is in effect for Grand Isle, Louisiana to the west of Destin, Florida

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Metropolitan New Orleans area, Lake Maurepas, Lake Pontchartrain and Destin, FL to Indian Pass, FL.

Please note: The hurricane watch could be changed to a tropical storm watch or warning later today.

J.W. Allen & Company’s 48 Hour Outlook

Tropical Storm Karen has weakened a little and is expected to be near the central gulf coast on Saturday. A turn toward the north and a decrease in forward speed is expected by early Saturday. With an increase in forward speed on the forecast track, the center of Tropical Storm Karen is expected to be near the coast within the Tropical Storm warning area Saturday night. A turn toward the northeast is expected on Sunday.

Although some strengthening is possible Saturday night and Sunday, little change in strength is expected over the next day or so. Tropical Storm Karen is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over portions of the central and eastern gulf coast through Sunday nigh, mainly near and to the right of the path of the storm’s center. Isolated storm total amounts of 10 inches are possible.

All indications are that Tropical Storm Karen will be a weekend rain event for the New Orleans Metropolitan area. Although we are monitoring closely, we expect little adverse impact on our operations and anticipate a continuation of our normal business operations on Monday morning October 7th.

Any change in the status of our operations will be updated on our website: www.JWAllen.com